TY - JOUR
T1 - Regional variation in the role of humidity on city-level heat-related mortality
AU - on behalf of the Multi-Country Multi-City (MCC) Collaborative Research Network
AU - Guo, Qiang
AU - Mistry, Malcolm N.
AU - Zhou, Xudong
AU - Zhao, Gang
AU - Kino, Kanon
AU - Wen, Bo
AU - Cvijanovic, Ivana
AU - Yoshimura, Kei
AU - Satoh, Yusuke
AU - Kim, Yoonhee
AU - Ng, Chris Fook Sheng
AU - Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana M.
AU - Armstrong, Ben
AU - Katsouyanni, Klea
AU - Masselot, Pierre
AU - Urban, Aleš
AU - Tong, Shilu
AU - Sera, Francesco
AU - Huber, Veronika
AU - Bell, Michelle L.
AU - Gasparrini, Antonio
AU - Kyselý, Jan
AU - Hashizume, Masahiro
AU - Oki, Taikan
AU - Abrutzky, Rosana
AU - Guo, Yuming
AU - de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, Micheline
AU - Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento
AU - Lavigne, Eric
AU - Ortega, Nicolás Valdés
AU - Correa, Patricia Matus
AU - Kan, Haidong
AU - Osorio, Samuel
AU - Roye, Dominic
AU - Indermitte, Ene
AU - Orru, Hans
AU - Jaakkola, Jouni J.K.
AU - Ryti, Niilo
AU - Pascal, Mathilde
AU - Schneider, Alexandra
AU - Analitis, Antonis
AU - Entezari, Alireza
AU - Mayvaneh, Fatemeh
AU - Zeka, Ariana
AU - Goodman, Patrick
AU - de’Donato, Francesca
AU - Michelozzi, Paola
AU - Alahmad, Barrak
AU - De la Cruz Valencia, César
AU - Diaz, Magali Hurtado
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s) 2024.
PY - 2024/8/1
Y1 - 2024/8/1
N2 - The rising humid heat is regarded as a severe threat to human survivability, but the proper integration of humid heat into heat-health alerts is still being explored. Using state-of-the-art epidemiological and climatological datasets, we examined the association between multiple heat stress indicators (HSIs) and daily human mortality in 739 cities worldwide. Notable differences were observed in the long-term trends and timing of heat events detected by HSIs. Air temperature (Tair) predicts heat-related mortality well in cities with a robust negative Tair-relative humidity correlation (CT-RH). However, in cities with near-zero or weak positive CT-RH, HSIs considering humidity provide enhanced predictive power compared to Tair. Furthermore, the magnitude and timing of heat-related mortality measured by HSIs could differ largely from those associated with Tair in many cities. Our findings provide important insights into specific regions where humans are vulnerable to humid heat and can facilitate the further enhancement of heat-health alert systems.
AB - The rising humid heat is regarded as a severe threat to human survivability, but the proper integration of humid heat into heat-health alerts is still being explored. Using state-of-the-art epidemiological and climatological datasets, we examined the association between multiple heat stress indicators (HSIs) and daily human mortality in 739 cities worldwide. Notable differences were observed in the long-term trends and timing of heat events detected by HSIs. Air temperature (Tair) predicts heat-related mortality well in cities with a robust negative Tair-relative humidity correlation (CT-RH). However, in cities with near-zero or weak positive CT-RH, HSIs considering humidity provide enhanced predictive power compared to Tair. Furthermore, the magnitude and timing of heat-related mortality measured by HSIs could differ largely from those associated with Tair in many cities. Our findings provide important insights into specific regions where humans are vulnerable to humid heat and can facilitate the further enhancement of heat-health alert systems.
KW - climate change
KW - heat stress
KW - humidity
KW - mortality
KW - urban climate
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85201068263&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae290
DO - 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae290
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85201068263
SN - 2752-6542
VL - 3
JO - PNAS Nexus
JF - PNAS Nexus
IS - 8
M1 - pgae290
ER -