Investigating Brexit Implications on the Irish Agri-Food Exports: A Simulation-Based Scenario Mapping Model

Amr Mahfouz, Rishi Choudhary, John Crowe, Wael Rashwan, Aly Owida

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

The Irish economy is highly dependent on the UK market with a total export value surpassing €14 billion. Several reports have warned of severe bottlenecks at the Irish and British ports if new customs checks are reintroduced. A significant disruption is also expected to the traffic flow between Ireland and Britain because of the lack of proper checking infrastructure at some ports. This situation will cause devastating impact on the competitive advantage of various Irish exports to the UK market, particularly limited-shelf-life products. Hence, a simulation model has been developed to investigate three Brexit scenarios: 1) applying non-tariff barriers at ports, 2) replacing the UK Landbridge with direct routes to continental Europe, and 3) lack of checking infrastructure at the UK ports. The scenarios' implications on the transportation time and shelf life of Irish Cheese exports to the UK are investigated, leading to one recommendable scenario.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 2020 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2020
EditorsK.-H. Bae, B. Feng, S. Kim, S. Lazarova-Molnar, Z. Zheng, T. Roeder, R. Thiesing
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages1480-1491
Number of pages12
ISBN (Electronic)9781728194998
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 14 Dec 2020
Event2020 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2020 - Orlando, United States
Duration: 14 Dec 202018 Dec 2020

Publication series

NameProceedings - Winter Simulation Conference
Volume2020-December
ISSN (Print)0891-7736

Conference

Conference2020 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2020
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityOrlando
Period14/12/2018/12/20

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